Drake Scull 2009 profit forecast
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 Share Wadi
Drake Scull 2009 profit forecast

 
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sharewadi
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Location: up the wadi without a paddle

Drake Scull 2009 profit forecast

Posted on Wed 11 Mar 2009 09:52 by sharewadi
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Looks like Drake & Scull (DSI) already answered one of my questions for the Drake Scull DFM open day Smile . An increase of 20-25% in profits and revenues implies 2009 FY Net Profit of about AED 180-190m and Revenue of about AED 1.75-1.80 billion (using 2008 figures given buy Khaleej Times). That would indicate that DrakeScull shares are fairly priced, at best, at par value of AED 1. EPS is about 0.082 dhs and forward PE works out to about 12 (on par value), which is relatively high compared to other share prices in March 2009. Profit Margin is not that great at just over 10%.

See also Drake Scull listing date and DrakeScull IPO.

Khaleej Times 10 March 2009:
Drake & Scull Sees Profit Growth; Seeks Acquisitions
Rocel Felix

DUBAI — Drake & Scull International (DSI) (DRAKESCULL), an engineering contracting company, is projecting a 20 to 25 per cent growth in revenue and net profit this year, its CEO said on Tuesday.

“We expect our turnover this year to exceed the 2008 level. That would be anywhere from 20 to 25 per cent above last year’s numbers,” Drake & Scull CEO Khaldoun Rashid Tabari told Khaleej Times.

Drake & Scull which is set to list its shares on the Dubai Financial Market (DFM) on March 16, posted a net profit of Dh150 million and a revenue of Dh1.45 billion last year.

“We expect growth to come from net interest income from the proceeds of last year’s IPO and from our planned acquisitions this year,” said Tabari.

The growth will be supported by new projects in the Middle East and North Africa region, he said.

Drake & Scull, which specialises in mechanical, engineering and plumbing operations, raised Dh1.2 billion in the IPO last July, the proceeds of which will be used to fund its growing business in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region.

Tabari said that the company is in “active negotiations” for several potential acquisitions in Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.

“Our plans have not changed much despite the economic slowdown, but we are more cautious in our approach because of the current market situation. We are still looking to acquire good companies that have established a proper base in the areas where we want to grow.”

The company hopes to finalise these acquisitions before the end of the third quarter after the submission of recommendations by an independent third party evaluator and after getting shareholders’ approval.

While expanding its business outside of the UAE, Drake & Scull will also seek new opportunities in the country, said Tabari.

“We cannot ignore that there is a crisis, but we are still very bullish about Dubai. The best infrastructure is here and it will remain as our platform to enter different markets in the region.

Drake & Scull will be the first company listing at the Dubai Financial Market this year, coming at a time when there is high risk aversion by investors.

Tabari is optimistic that the listing of the company will be well-received despite the volatile market.

“We believe that this is the right opportunity; it was our belief when we had our IPO last year and we are still very comfortable with our situation.”

In July last year, Drake & Scull offered 55 per cent of its shares to the public. The shares were priced at Dh1 each with more than 45,600 subscribers applying for shares.

Tabari said there is still room for growth despite economies weakening in the region.

“We have done our due diligence and we know that this is just the right time to scout for areas where our company can expand its businesses.”




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Cash King
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A comparision

Posted on Sat 14 Mar 2009 10:34 by Cash King
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Dear Friends,

From March 16,2009 Drake & Scull is listing at DFM.

Initial few days & months we may see hectic and huge volumes with high volatility.

If ARTC is trading at AED1.65 then what should be the price for D&S ?

Kind Regards

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sam111sam
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Joined: 15 Mar 2008
Posts: 1500

DSI Fair price

Posted on Tue 17 Mar 2009 16:17 by sam111sam
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Repost from yesterday to answer your question


At the closing price of 0.74Dhs The market cap is now Dhs 1611m
2007 profit was Dhs 100m (E/R 16)
2008 profit was Dhs 152m (E/R 10.x)
2009 forecast Dhs 200m (E/R 8.x)
Comapny estabilshed in 1966

Solid fundamentals (if they make their forecast), but Arabtech is far much better 2008 E/R is 2.1... At the same profitability (E/R =2.1) DSI would need to be priced at 16 Fils

Did I miss anything ?

By the way, during DSI IPO , ARTC used to trade at 12-14 Dhs (before the split) which is 400% of the current market price of ARTC. So if we assume that DSI was listed during the IPO and followed Emaar and ARTC in the decline it would have been trading now at 20-25 Fils.

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