Deyaar (DEYAAR) profit figures for financial year 2007 are:
2007 FY profit = AED 535m, EPS = 0.09 dhs
Results for FY 2006 not supplied
EPS figures calculated from Net Profit / 5,778,000,000 shares outstanding.
DEYAAR share price at close on 23 Jan 2008 was 2.73 dhs, so 2007 estimated PE is about 2.73 / 0.09 = 30.3, based on FY earnings, which is about double the average market PE of about 16. And that includes IPO income of AED 107m. If that's excluded then PE rises to about 35.
If P/E is approximately 30, what would you the say the FV of Deyaar at this point
The PE of 30 perhaps misrepresents Deyaar's share price given that earnings before going public were lower. Here's an alternative PE calculation.
If you take Deyaar "Q3" results (it wasn't a full quarter) and calculate the Q4 results from their disclosure (which gives numbers for the period from 10 Jul to 31 Dec 2007), then you have data which could be representative of their operations as a public company without distortions from IPO income, and pre-IPO activities. Figures below have not been double-checked for accuracy yet (I'm going to do that now... but very happy if someone else checks them also ).
Deyaar (DEYAAR) profit figures for 2007 Q4 are (EPS annualised in brackets):
2007 Q4 profit = AED 212m, EPS = 0.04 dhs (0.16 )
DEYAAR share price at close on 23 Jan 2008 was 2.73 dhs, so annualised 2007 PE estimate is about 2.73 / 0.16 = 17.1, based on Q4 earnings, which is close to the average market PE of about 16.
As you can see, Deyaar shares are probably fairly priced at current levels based on earnings, assuming those Q4 earnings are representative of what they're likely to continue generating.
Since Deyaar calls it "revenue", hopefully it really is cash coming in from selling stuff, and not profit generated by revaluing assets. _________________ UAE IPO list | posting guidelines
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